Bears vs Red Wolves

Gameday · THU DEC 3

Missouri StateVSArkansas State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

First National Bank Arena · Jonesboro, AR

Win probability

1912 blend

30% MOSTARST 70%

Adj. efficiency31%

69%

SRS23%

77%

Elo35%

65%

ARST +4.2

Proj. margin

164.4

Proj. total

74.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.Williams Jr.G · 8.0 APG17.0
• 15A.AcimovicC · 2.7 BPG22.0
• 35J.Blair4.7 RPG2.7
• 6D.Rowe2.7 RPG10.0
• 23C.ThompsonF · 5.3 RPG3.0

• 33L.TaylorG · 5.0 APG17.0
• 14A.DoumbiaF · 8.3 RPG6.0
• 3R.SmithG · 3.3 APG5.7
• 4D.MuonF · 4.3 RPG4.3
• 2T.Ferguson5.0 RPG10.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-2.1Adj. net rating+1.0

194thAdj. net rank157th

109.4Adj. offense110.0

111.5Adj. defense109.0

71.5Pace78.0

-1.9SRS3.1

1768Elo1873

3–0Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

85.3Points74.0

61.3Opp points84.3

61.2%eFG%44.2%

16.0%TO%17.0%

21.8%OREB%41.7%

.34FT rate.28

40%3PA rate51%

59%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Missouri State

W89-62vs Newman University

W79-62vs Truman State

W88-60vs Lincoln (MO)

L66-69@ LT

W77-69@ LIB

Arkansas State

L65-82vs UTM

L86-101@ ALA

W71-70vs TOL

L77-80vs GASO

W81-58vs UL

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26ARST 86 · MOST 85Tue, 11/11

19-20ARST 53 · MOST 75Wed, 12/11

18-19MOST 63 · ARST 71Tue, 12/18

Game information

TipThursday, Dec 3 · time TBD

VenueFirst National Bank Arena · Jonesboro, AR

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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