Jaguars vs Bulldogs

Gameday · SAT DEC 5

SouthernVSFresno State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Save Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

26% SOUFRES 74%

Adj. efficiency11%

89%

SRS31%

69%

Elo36%

64%

FRES +8.2

Proj. margin

156.8

Proj. total

72.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5J.PageG · 0.8 APG5.3
• 10L.BellF · 1.3 RPG2.3
• 13J.Hunter3.3 RPG3.5
• 4A.Hall3.3 RPG5.8
• 11L.LarvadainG · 0.8 APG4.0

• 10R.Urpina4.0 RPG9.7
• 30R.CandelinoG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 77D.LunguG · 2.7 APG19.3
• 1B.AmunekeG · 2.0 APG16.7
• 42B.HenigeF · 7.3 RPG15.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-11.3Adj. net rating+3.2

286thAdj. net rank131st

104.6Adj. offense108.6

115.8Adj. defense105.4

73.5Pace70.9

-3.9SRS-1.6

1539Elo1639

0–4Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

60.3Points82.7

87.5Opp points84.0

45.2%eFG%52.8%

31.0%TO%15.0%

31.4%OREB%32.2%

.32FT rate.36

30%3PA rate37%

51%Assisted FG%51%

Last five games

Southern

L47-84@ ISU

L68-75@ DRKE

L54-106@ TCU

L72-85@ SMU

L66-72vs PV

Fresno State

W95-92vs GAST

L65-81@ UCSD

W88-79vs Fresno Pacific

L63-67@ CSU

L60-85@ GCU

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 5 · time TBD

VenueSave Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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