Bears vs Texans

Gameday · SAT DEC 12

Missouri StateVSTarleton State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip5:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

ECCU Center · Stephenville, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

54% MOSTTAR 46%

Adj. efficiency48%

52%

SRS44%

56%

Elo72%

28%

MOST +1.8

Proj. margin

155.1

Proj. total

71.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.Williams Jr.G · 8.0 APG17.0
• 15A.AcimovicC · 2.7 BPG22.0
• 35J.Blair4.7 RPG2.7
• 6D.Rowe2.7 RPG10.0
• 23C.ThompsonF · 5.3 RPG3.0

• 4L.Kelly IVG · 2.7 APG16.0
• 3T.CopeG · 2.0 APG12.0
• 2F.EmmouG · 3.7 APG10.7
• 13K.DouglasG · 1.7 APG4.7
• 11J.ManiF · 3.5 RPG11.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-2.1Adj. net rating-5.4

194thAdj. net rank222nd

109.4Adj. offense104.2

111.5Adj. defense109.6

71.5Pace71.2

-1.9SRS-3.1

1768Elo1602

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

85.3Points84.0

61.3Opp points71.0

61.2%eFG%54.3%

16.0%TO%19.0%

21.8%OREB%28.3%

.34FT rate.53

40%3PA rate34%

59%Assisted FG%52%

Last five games

Missouri State

W89-62vs Newman University

W79-62vs Truman State

W88-60vs Lincoln (MO)

L66-69@ LT

W77-69@ LIB

Tarleton State

W76-57vs UT Dallas

L90-96@ USD

W86-60vs Cameron

L78-84@ ACU

L60-65vs UTA

Game information

TipSaturday, Dec 12 · 5:00 PM ET

VenueECCU Center · Stephenville, TX

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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