Broncos vs Aggies

Gameday · WED JAN 6

Boise StateVSUtah State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT

Win probability

1912 blend

22% BOISUSU 78%

Adj. efficiency18%

82%

SRS22%

78%

Elo27%

73%

USU +6.6

Proj. margin

174.1

Proj. total

77.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1A.NetoG · 6.5 APG17.5
• 13D.ButkaF · 11.5 RPG16.0
• 16S.AhrensF · 5.0 RPG17.0
• 10D.Wheeler-ThomasG · 4.0 APG14.5
• 0J.BowieG · 1.5 APG8.0

• 30D.HallG · 7.0 APG17.3
• 12M.FalslevG · 5.0 APG18.3
• 10S.CallaghanG · 1.0 APG16.0
• 13W.HornsethF · 4.7 RPG11.0
• 22K.TemplinF · 4.0 RPG6.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+14.5Adj. net rating+23.6

56thAdj. net rank26th

118.9Adj. offense124.3

104.4Adj. defense100.6

80.7Pace74.7

5.1SRS10.7

1845Elo2016

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

114.3Points100.7

71.0Opp points66.7

62.6%eFG%60.8%

11.0%TO%12.0%

34.8%OREB%29.8%

.31FT rate.32

44%3PA rate34%

58%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Boise State

W111-79vs OAK

W100-81vs BUT

W132-53vs West Coast Baptist

L74-84vs SJSU

W78-67@ CSU

Utah State

W118-86vs UTU

W90-56vs OMA

W94-58vs IDST

L66-78@ ARIZ

W86-76@ VILL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BOIS 56 · USU 75Wed, 2/18

25-26USU 93 · BOIS 68Sat, 1/10

24-25USU 65 · BOIS 82Wed, 2/26

24-25BOIS 79 · USU 81Sat, 1/11

23-24BOIS 61 · USU 80Sat, 2/10

23-24USU 90 · BOIS 84Sat, 1/27

22-23USU 72 · BOIS 62Fri, 3/10

22-23BOIS 73 · USU 86Sat, 3/4

22-23USU 59 · BOIS 82Sat, 1/7

21-22USU 57 · BOIS 68Sat, 2/19

Game information

TipWednesday, Jan 6 · time TBD

VenueDee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.