Bulldogs vs Rams

Gameday · SUN JAN 17

Fresno StateVSColorado State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Moby Arena · Fort Collins, CO

Win probability

1912 blend

28% FRESCSU 72%

Adj. efficiency27%

73%

SRS24%

76%

Elo32%

68%

CSU +4.9

Proj. margin

155.9

Proj. total

70.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10R.Urpina4.0 RPG9.7
• 30R.CandelinoG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 77D.LunguG · 2.7 APG19.3
• 1B.AmunekeG · 2.0 APG16.7
• 42B.HenigeF · 7.3 RPG15.3

• 5J.PascarelliG · 1.3 APG12.3
• 4J.ButlerG · 6.3 APG13.3
• 0C.BoothF · 4.7 RPG12.0
• 3J.MenardG · 2.7 APG8.7
• 35K.JorgensenF · 4.0 RPG10.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+3.2Adj. net rating+8.5

131stAdj. net rank93rd

108.6Adj. offense117.4

105.4Adj. defense108.9

70.9Pace70.7

-1.6SRS3.2

1639Elo1772

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

82.7Points83.0

84.0Opp points70.7

52.8%eFG%59.4%

15.0%TO%16.0%

32.2%OREB%14.9%

.36FT rate.40

37%3PA rate40%

51%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Fresno State

W95-92vs GAST

L65-81@ UCSD

W88-79vs Fresno Pacific

L63-67@ CSU

L60-85@ GCU

Colorado State

W87-71vs PRST

W78-67vs IDHO

W84-74vs MTST

L64-69vs JOES

L62-71@ SDSU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26FRES 63 · CSU 67Wed, 3/11

25-26FRES 70 · CSU 74Tue, 2/24

25-26CSU 69 · FRES 79Tue, 1/13

24-25CSU 69 · FRES 64Sat, 1/25

24-25FRES 64 · CSU 91Tue, 1/7

23-24CSU 73 · FRES 61Sat, 2/3

22-23FRES 65 · CSU 67Wed, 3/8

22-23CSU 60 · FRES 57Sat, 2/18

22-23FRES 57 · CSU 79Sat, 1/7

21-22FRES 50 · CSU 65Fri, 2/11

Game information

TipSunday, Jan 17 · time TBD

VenueMoby Arena · Fort Collins, CO

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.