Broncos vs Bulldogs

Gameday · WED JAN 20

Boise StateVSFresno State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Save Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

70% BOISFRES 30%

Adj. efficiency69%

31%

SRS63%

37%

Elo77%

23%

BOIS +1.3

Proj. margin

165.7

Proj. total

75.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1A.NetoG · 6.5 APG17.5
• 13D.ButkaF · 11.5 RPG16.0
• 16S.AhrensF · 5.0 RPG17.0
• 10D.Wheeler-ThomasG · 4.0 APG14.5
• 0J.BowieG · 1.5 APG8.0

• 10R.Urpina4.0 RPG9.7
• 30R.CandelinoG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 77D.LunguG · 2.7 APG19.3
• 1B.AmunekeG · 2.0 APG16.7
• 42B.HenigeF · 7.3 RPG15.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+14.5Adj. net rating+3.2

56thAdj. net rank131st

118.9Adj. offense108.6

104.4Adj. defense105.4

80.7Pace70.9

5.1SRS-1.6

1845Elo1639

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

114.3Points82.7

71.0Opp points84.0

62.6%eFG%52.8%

11.0%TO%15.0%

34.8%OREB%32.2%

.31FT rate.36

44%3PA rate37%

58%Assisted FG%51%

Last five games

Boise State

W111-79vs OAK

W100-81vs BUT

W132-53vs West Coast Baptist

L74-84vs SJSU

W78-67@ CSU

Fresno State

W95-92vs GAST

L65-81@ UCSD

W88-79vs Fresno Pacific

L63-67@ CSU

L60-85@ GCU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BOIS 69 · FRES 53Sat, 2/28

24-25BOIS 66 · FRES 61Sat, 3/1

24-25FRES 60 · BOIS 82Sat, 2/1

23-24FRES 66 · BOIS 90Sat, 2/17

23-24BOIS 72 · FRES 68Tue, 1/23

22-23FRES 53 · BOIS 63Tue, 1/24

21-22BOIS 68 · FRES 63Fri, 1/28

21-22FRES 55 · BOIS 65Tue, 12/28

20-21FRES 67 · BOIS 64Tue, 3/2

20-21FRES 51 · BOIS 73Wed, 1/20

Game information

TipWednesday, Jan 20 · time TBD

VenueSave Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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