Bulldogs vs Bulldogs

Gameday · WED JAN 27

Fresno StateVSGonzagaAP #14

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

McCarthey Athletic Center · Spokane, WA

Win probability

1912 blend

4% FRESGONZ 96%

Adj. efficiency2%

98%

SRS3%

97%

Elo6%

94%

GONZ +12.9

Proj. margin

150.0

Proj. total

70.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10R.Urpina4.0 RPG9.7
• 30R.CandelinoG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 77D.LunguG · 2.7 APG19.3
• 1B.AmunekeG · 2.0 APG16.7
• 42B.HenigeF · 7.3 RPG15.3

• 4D.FogleG · 4.0 APG22.0
• 34B.HuffF · 3.5 RPG15.0
• 5X.LeeG · 6.5 APG12.0
• 1I.HarwellG · 1.5 APG12.0
• 35M.DiopC · 0.5 BPG9.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+3.2Adj. net rating+31.5

131stAdj. net rank9th

108.6Adj. offense122.4

105.4Adj. defense90.9

70.9Pace69.5

-1.6SRS15.8

1639Elo2106

2–1Record2–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

82.7Points93.5

84.0Opp points70.0

52.8%eFG%61.3%

15.0%TO%12.0%

32.2%OREB%32.8%

.36FT rate.55

37%3PA rate35%

51%Assisted FG%62%

Last five games

Fresno State

W95-92vs GAST

L65-81@ UCSD

W88-79vs Fresno Pacific

L63-67@ CSU

L60-85@ GCU

Gonzaga

W109-68vs NMSU

W78-72@ PUR

L68-74vs TEX

W73-64vs KENN

W79-68vs SCU

Game information

TipWednesday, Jan 27 · time TBD

VenueMcCarthey Athletic Center · Spokane, WA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.