Broncos vs Bobcats

Gameday · SAT JAN 30

Boise StateVSTexas State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Strahan Arena at the University Events Center · San Marcos, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

65% BOISTXST 35%

Adj. efficiency43%

57%

SRS100%

0%

Elo51%

49%

BOIS +2.4

Proj. margin

164.9

Proj. total

75.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1A.NetoG · 6.0 APG20.0
• 10D.Wheeler-ThomasG · 4.7 APG17.3
• 13D.ButkaF · 10.0 RPG16.0
• 16S.AhrensF · 5.0 RPG15.0
• 0J.BowieG · 1.7 APG8.3

• 10P.DjobetG · 2.7 APG14.7
• 0D.HallF · 6.3 RPG14.3
• 3R.FieldsC · 0.3 BPG12.7
• 11K.GumbsG · 3.7 APG3.3
• 2D.PernellG · 0.7 APG11.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2026-27

+7.1Adj. net rating+5.6

56thAdj. net rank70th

114.3Adj. offense109.9

107.2Adj. defense104.3

80.7Pace70.7

32.9SRS-10.6

1856Elo1851

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

114.3Points91.3

71.0Opp points62.0

62.6%eFG%61.5%

11.0%TO%19.0%

34.8%OREB%32.8%

.31FT rate.46

44%3PA rate35%

58%Assisted FG%56%

Last five games

Boise State

W111-79vs OAK

W100-81vs BUT

W132-53vs West Coast Baptist

L74-84vs SJSU

W78-67@ CSU

Texas State

W72-65@ RGV

W135-66vs Howard Payne

W67-55vs AMCC

L77-81vs USM

W60-57vs APP

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 30 · time TBD

VenueStrahan Arena at the University Events Center · San Marcos, TX

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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