Broncos vs Beavers

Gameday · THU FEB 4

Boise StateVSOregon State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Gill Coliseum · Corvallis, OR

Win probability

1912 blend

74% BOISORST 26%

Adj. efficiency79%

21%

SRS68%

32%

Elo74%

26%

BOIS +3.0

Proj. margin

171.3

Proj. total

77.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1A.NetoG · 6.5 APG17.5
• 13D.ButkaF · 11.5 RPG16.0
• 16S.AhrensF · 5.0 RPG17.0
• 10D.Wheeler-ThomasG · 4.0 APG14.5
• 0J.BowieG · 1.5 APG8.0

• 32X.StatonC · 2.7 BPG9.7
• 2J.Lake IIG · 4.3 APG13.3
• 5D.FreitagG · 3.3 APG17.7
• 35D.GoryF · 4.0 RPG14.3
• 11D.EvansC · 1.3 BPG1.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+14.5Adj. net rating-0.9

56thAdj. net rank176th

118.9Adj. offense109.0

104.4Adj. defense110.0

80.7Pace74.2

5.1SRS-3.1

1845Elo1659

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

114.3Points97.3

71.0Opp points71.0

62.6%eFG%59.5%

11.0%TO%13.0%

34.8%OREB%25.4%

.31FT rate.47

44%3PA rate47%

58%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Boise State

W111-79vs OAK

W100-81vs BUT

W132-53vs West Coast Baptist

L74-84vs SJSU

W78-67@ CSU

Oregon State

W94-84vs EWU

W96-68vs CBU

W102-61vs WEB

L56-65@ GONZ

W78-77vs SF

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 4 · time TBD

VenueGill Coliseum · Corvallis, OR

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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