Rams vs Bulldogs

Gameday · THU FEB 4

Colorado StateVSFresno State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Save Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

59% CSUFRES 41%

Adj. efficiency53%

47%

SRS56%

44%

Elo68%

32%

CSU +1.1

Proj. margin

155.9

Proj. total

70.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5J.PascarelliG · 1.3 APG12.3
• 4J.ButlerG · 6.3 APG13.3
• 0C.BoothF · 4.7 RPG12.0
• 3J.MenardG · 2.7 APG8.7
• 35K.JorgensenF · 4.0 RPG10.0

• 10R.Urpina4.0 RPG9.7
• 30R.CandelinoG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 77D.LunguG · 2.7 APG19.3
• 1B.AmunekeG · 2.0 APG16.7
• 42B.HenigeF · 7.3 RPG15.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+8.5Adj. net rating+3.2

93rdAdj. net rank131st

117.4Adj. offense108.6

108.9Adj. defense105.4

70.7Pace70.9

3.2SRS-1.6

1772Elo1639

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

83.0Points82.7

70.7Opp points84.0

59.4%eFG%52.8%

16.0%TO%15.0%

14.9%OREB%32.2%

.40FT rate.36

40%3PA rate37%

57%Assisted FG%51%

Last five games

Colorado State

W87-71vs PRST

W78-67vs IDHO

W84-74vs MTST

L64-69vs JOES

L62-71@ SDSU

Fresno State

W95-92vs GAST

L65-81@ UCSD

W88-79vs Fresno Pacific

L63-67@ CSU

L60-85@ GCU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26FRES 63 · CSU 67Wed, 3/11

25-26FRES 70 · CSU 74Tue, 2/24

25-26CSU 69 · FRES 79Tue, 1/13

24-25CSU 69 · FRES 64Sat, 1/25

24-25FRES 64 · CSU 91Tue, 1/7

23-24CSU 73 · FRES 61Sat, 2/3

22-23FRES 65 · CSU 67Wed, 3/8

22-23CSU 60 · FRES 57Sat, 2/18

22-23FRES 57 · CSU 79Sat, 1/7

21-22FRES 50 · CSU 65Fri, 2/11

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 4 · time TBD

VenueSave Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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