Aztecs vs Bobcats

Gameday · THU FEB 11

San Diego StateVSTexas State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Strahan Arena at the University Events Center · San Marcos, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

83% SDSUTXST 17%

Adj. efficiency91%

9%

SRS75%

25%

Elo84%

16%

SDSU +5.9

Proj. margin

151.8

Proj. total

72.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5L.DavisG · 2.3 APG23.0
• 2C.GladdenG · 4.7 APG11.0
• 3E.HarringtonG · 4.7 APG13.7
• 8T.SimmonsF · 7.0 RPG11.0
• 45B.CherryF · 5.0 RPG12.7

• 10P.DjobetG · 2.7 APG14.7
• 0D.HallF · 6.3 RPG14.3
• 3R.FieldsC · 0.3 BPG12.7
• 11K.GumbsG · 3.7 APG3.3
• 2D.PernellG · 0.7 APG11.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+16.5Adj. net rating-8.1

51stAdj. net rank255th

112.6Adj. offense102.5

96.1Adj. defense110.6

73.3Pace70.7

6.7SRS-3.7

1944Elo1659

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

89.0Points91.3

73.0Opp points62.0

61.2%eFG%61.5%

23.0%TO%19.0%

28.0%OREB%32.8%

.52FT rate.46

31%3PA rate35%

59%Assisted FG%56%

Last five games

San Diego State

W88-75vs BCU

W77-66vs COLO

W102-78vs CSUF

L62-73@ USU

W64-62vs UNM

Texas State

W72-65@ RGV

W135-66vs Howard Payne

W67-55vs AMCC

L77-81vs USM

W60-57vs APP

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 11 · time TBD

VenueStrahan Arena at the University Events Center · San Marcos, TX

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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