Bulldogs vs Broncos

Gameday · SAT FEB 13

Fresno StateVSBoise State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

ExtraMile Arena · Boise, ID

Win probability

1912 blend

19% FRESBOIS 81%

Adj. efficiency15%

85%

SRS19%

81%

Elo23%

77%

BOIS +7.3

Proj. margin

165.7

Proj. total

75.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10R.Urpina4.0 RPG9.7
• 30R.CandelinoG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 77D.LunguG · 2.7 APG19.3
• 1B.AmunekeG · 2.0 APG16.7
• 42B.HenigeF · 7.3 RPG15.3

• 1A.NetoG · 6.0 APG20.0
• 10D.Wheeler-ThomasG · 4.7 APG17.3
• 13D.ButkaF · 10.0 RPG16.0
• 16S.AhrensF · 5.0 RPG15.0
• 0J.BowieG · 1.7 APG8.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+3.2Adj. net rating+14.5

131stAdj. net rank56th

108.6Adj. offense118.9

105.4Adj. defense104.4

70.9Pace80.7

-1.6SRS5.1

1639Elo1845

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

82.7Points114.3

84.0Opp points71.0

52.8%eFG%62.6%

15.0%TO%11.0%

32.2%OREB%34.8%

.36FT rate.31

37%3PA rate44%

51%Assisted FG%58%

Last five games

Fresno State

W95-92vs GAST

L65-81@ UCSD

W88-79vs Fresno Pacific

L63-67@ CSU

L60-85@ GCU

Boise State

W111-79vs OAK

W100-81vs BUT

W132-53vs West Coast Baptist

L74-84vs SJSU

W78-67@ CSU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BOIS 69 · FRES 53Sat, 2/28

24-25BOIS 66 · FRES 61Sat, 3/1

24-25FRES 60 · BOIS 82Sat, 2/1

23-24FRES 66 · BOIS 90Sat, 2/17

23-24BOIS 72 · FRES 68Tue, 1/23

22-23FRES 53 · BOIS 63Tue, 1/24

21-22BOIS 68 · FRES 63Fri, 1/28

21-22FRES 55 · BOIS 65Tue, 12/28

20-21FRES 67 · BOIS 64Tue, 3/2

20-21FRES 51 · BOIS 73Wed, 1/20

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 13 · time TBD

VenueExtraMile Arena · Boise, ID

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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