Broncos vs Rams

Gameday · THU FEB 18

Boise StateVSColorado State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Moby Arena · Fort Collins, CO

Win probability

1912 blend

54% BOISCSU 46%

Adj. efficiency56%

44%

SRS46%

54%

Elo60%

40%

BOIS +0.7

Proj. margin

170.2

Proj. total

75.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1A.NetoG · 6.0 APG20.0
• 10D.Wheeler-ThomasG · 4.7 APG17.3
• 13D.ButkaF · 10.0 RPG16.0
• 16S.AhrensF · 5.0 RPG15.0
• 0J.BowieG · 1.7 APG8.3

• 5J.PascarelliG · 1.3 APG12.3
• 4J.ButlerG · 6.3 APG13.3
• 0C.BoothF · 4.7 RPG12.0
• 3J.MenardG · 2.7 APG8.7
• 35K.JorgensenF · 4.0 RPG10.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+14.5Adj. net rating+8.5

56thAdj. net rank93rd

118.9Adj. offense117.4

104.4Adj. defense108.9

80.7Pace70.7

5.1SRS3.2

1845Elo1772

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

114.3Points83.0

71.0Opp points70.7

62.6%eFG%59.4%

11.0%TO%16.0%

34.8%OREB%14.9%

.31FT rate.40

44%3PA rate40%

58%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Boise State

W111-79vs OAK

W100-81vs BUT

W132-53vs West Coast Baptist

L74-84vs SJSU

W78-67@ CSU

Colorado State

W87-71vs PRST

W78-67vs IDHO

W84-74vs MTST

L64-69vs JOES

L62-71@ SDSU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26BOIS 78 · CSU 67Sat, 3/7

25-26CSU 73 · BOIS 79Fri, 1/16

24-25BOIS 56 · CSU 69Sat, 3/15

24-25CSU 83 · BOIS 73Fri, 3/7

24-25BOIS 72 · CSU 75Wed, 1/22

23-24BOIS 62 · CSU 75Tue, 2/6

23-24CSU 58 · BOIS 65Tue, 1/9

22-23BOIS 80 · CSU 78Wed, 2/15

22-23CSU 59 · BOIS 80Sat, 1/28

21-22BOIS 68 · CSU 71Sat, 3/5

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 18 · time TBD

VenueMoby Arena · Fort Collins, CO

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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