Bulldogs vs Aggies

Gameday · SAT FEB 27

Fresno StateVSUtah State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT

Win probability

1912 blend

8% FRESUSU 92%

Adj. efficiency5%

95%

SRS8%

92%

Elo10%

90%

USU +10.5

Proj. margin

159.8

Proj. total

72.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10R.Urpina4.0 RPG9.7
• 30R.CandelinoG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 77D.LunguG · 2.7 APG19.3
• 1B.AmunekeG · 2.0 APG16.7
• 42B.HenigeF · 7.3 RPG15.3

• 30D.HallG · 7.0 APG17.3
• 12M.FalslevG · 5.0 APG18.3
• 10S.CallaghanG · 1.0 APG16.0
• 13W.HornsethF · 4.7 RPG11.0
• 22K.TemplinF · 4.0 RPG6.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+3.2Adj. net rating+23.6

131stAdj. net rank26th

108.6Adj. offense124.3

105.4Adj. defense100.6

70.9Pace74.7

-1.6SRS10.7

1639Elo2016

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

82.7Points100.7

84.0Opp points66.7

52.8%eFG%60.8%

15.0%TO%12.0%

32.2%OREB%29.8%

.36FT rate.32

37%3PA rate34%

51%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Fresno State

W95-92vs GAST

L65-81@ UCSD

W88-79vs Fresno Pacific

L63-67@ CSU

L60-85@ GCU

Utah State

W118-86vs UTU

W90-56vs OMA

W94-58vs IDST

L66-78@ ARIZ

W86-76@ VILL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26FRES 78 · USU 91Tue, 2/10

25-26USU 72 · FRES 63Tue, 12/30

24-25USU 89 · FRES 81Fri, 2/7

24-25FRES 83 · USU 89Sat, 1/4

23-24FRES 75 · USU 87Thu, 3/14

23-24USU 77 · FRES 73Tue, 2/27

23-24FRES 62 · USU 83Sat, 1/20

22-23USU 70 · FRES 53Sat, 1/28

22-23FRES 54 · USU 67Sat, 12/31

21-22USU 54 · FRES 61Tue, 1/18

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 27 · time TBD

VenueDee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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