Bulls vs Tigers

Gameday · SUN FEB 28

South FloridaVSMemphis

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

FedExForum · Memphis, TN

Win probability

1912 blend

80% USFMEM 20%

Adj. efficiency70%

30%

SRS75%

25%

Elo94%

6%

USF +1.4

Proj. margin

130.0

Proj. total

60.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 3S.WilsonG · 7.3 APG16.0
• 4C.Davis Jr.G · 1.7 APG16.0
• 0M.JamesG · 1.7 APG10.7
• 9G.JohnsonG · 1.0 APG12.3
• 1Z.HighF · 7.0 RPG14.7

• 15R.VaversF · 4.0 RPG12.3
• 0J.ReidG · 3.3 APG23.0
• 10L.AlmodovarG · 1.0 APG15.3
• 4T.WeeksF · 1.3 RPG13.3
• 77M.LogueF · 3.0 RPG2.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+18.4Adj. net rating+3.9

42ndAdj. net rank126th

118.8Adj. offense108.3

100.4Adj. defense104.4

72.7Pace47.7

10.4SRS-0.1

2100Elo1634

1–2Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

86.0Points83.3

78.7Opp points89.7

54.6%eFG%51.5%

17.0%TO%19.0%

31.5%OREB%33.0%

.29FT rate.61

38%3PA rate35%

50%Assisted FG%39%

Last five games

South Florida

L80-83vs JOES

L80-82@ DEP

W98-71vs CHSO

L79-83@ LOU

W70-55vs WICH

Memphis

L81-105@ VAN

W89-88vs VCU

W80-76@ ISU

L69-81vs TULN

W96-95@ TULN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26USF 96 · MEM 89Thu, 3/5

25-26MEM 66 · USF 87Thu, 2/19

24-25USF 68 · MEM 84Fri, 3/7

24-25MEM 80 · USF 65Thu, 2/13

23-24USF 74 · MEM 73Thu, 1/18

22-23MEM 99 · USF 81Wed, 2/8

22-23USF 86 · MEM 93Thu, 12/29

21-22MEM 73 · USF 64Thu, 3/3

20-21MEM 73 · USF 52Tue, 3/2

20-21USF 57 · MEM 58Tue, 12/29

Game information

TipSunday, Feb 28 · time TBD

VenueFedExForum · Memphis, TN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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