Beavers vs Bulldogs

Gameday · WED MAR 3

Oregon StateVSGonzagaAP #14

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

McCarthey Athletic Center · Spokane, WA

Win probability

1912 blend

3% ORSTGONZ 97%

Adj. efficiency1%

99%

SRS2%

98%

Elo7%

93%

GONZ +14.7

Proj. margin

155.3

Proj. total

71.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 32X.StatonC · 2.7 BPG9.7
• 2J.Lake IIG · 4.3 APG13.3
• 5D.FreitagG · 3.3 APG17.7
• 35D.GoryF · 4.0 RPG14.3
• 11D.EvansC · 1.3 BPG1.7

• 4D.FogleG · 4.0 APG22.0
• 34B.HuffF · 3.5 RPG15.0
• 5X.LeeG · 6.5 APG12.0
• 1I.HarwellG · 1.5 APG12.0
• 35M.DiopC · 0.5 BPG9.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-0.9Adj. net rating+31.5

176thAdj. net rank9th

109.0Adj. offense122.4

110.0Adj. defense90.9

74.2Pace69.5

-3.1SRS15.8

1659Elo2106

3–0Record2–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

97.3Points93.5

71.0Opp points70.0

59.5%eFG%61.3%

13.0%TO%12.0%

25.4%OREB%32.8%

.47FT rate.55

47%3PA rate35%

57%Assisted FG%62%

Last five games

Oregon State

W94-84vs EWU

W96-68vs CBU

W102-61vs WEB

L56-65@ GONZ

W78-77vs SF

Gonzaga

W109-68vs NMSU

W78-72@ PUR

L68-74vs TEX

W73-64vs KENN

W79-68vs SCU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26ORST 56 · GONZ 65Mon, 3/9

25-26GONZ 81 · ORST 61Sat, 2/7

24-25ORST 60 · GONZ 98Tue, 1/28

24-25GONZ 89 · ORST 97Thu, 1/16

Game information

TipWednesday, Mar 3 · time TBD

VenueMcCarthey Athletic Center · Spokane, WA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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