Aztecs vs Bulldogs

Gameday · WED MAR 3

San Diego StateVSFresno State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Save Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

75% SDSUFRES 25%

Adj. efficiency73%

27%

SRS69%

31%

Elo85%

15%

SDSU +1.8

Proj. margin

152.4

Proj. total

72.1

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 5L.DavisG · 2.3 APG23.0
• 2C.GladdenG · 4.7 APG11.0
• 3E.HarringtonG · 4.7 APG13.7
• 8T.SimmonsF · 7.0 RPG11.0
• 45B.CherryF · 5.0 RPG12.7

• 10R.Urpina4.0 RPG9.7
• 30R.CandelinoG · 1.3 APG16.3
• 77D.LunguG · 2.7 APG19.3
• 1B.AmunekeG · 2.0 APG16.7
• 42B.HenigeF · 7.3 RPG15.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+16.5Adj. net rating+3.2

51stAdj. net rank131st

112.6Adj. offense108.6

96.1Adj. defense105.4

73.3Pace70.9

6.7SRS-1.6

1944Elo1639

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

89.0Points82.7

73.0Opp points84.0

61.2%eFG%52.8%

23.0%TO%15.0%

28.0%OREB%32.2%

.52FT rate.36

31%3PA rate37%

59%Assisted FG%51%

Last five games

San Diego State

W88-75vs BCU

W77-66vs COLO

W102-78vs CSUF

L62-73@ USU

W64-62vs UNM

Fresno State

W95-92vs GAST

L65-81@ UCSD

W88-79vs Fresno Pacific

L63-67@ CSU

L60-85@ GCU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26FRES 52 · SDSU 71Sat, 1/10

24-25FRES 60 · SDSU 83Tue, 2/18

24-25SDSU 84 · FRES 62Wed, 12/4

23-24SDSU 73 · FRES 41Sat, 2/24

23-24FRES 47 · SDSU 74Wed, 1/3

22-23SDSU 45 · FRES 43Wed, 2/15

21-22FRES 46 · SDSU 53Thu, 3/10

21-22FRES 64 · SDSU 65Thu, 3/3

21-22SDSU 61 · FRES 44Sat, 2/19

20-21SDSU 75 · FRES 57Sat, 2/20

Game information

TipWednesday, Mar 3 · time TBD

VenueSave Mart Center · Fresno, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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