Flyers vs Rams

Gameday · FRI MAR 5

DaytonVSVCU

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Siegel Center · Richmond, VA

Win probability

1912 blend

34% DAYVCU 66%

Adj. efficiency28%

72%

SRS26%

74%

Elo49%

51%

VCU +4.7

Proj. margin

153.3

Proj. total

71.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 4A.Derkack10.3 RPG22.0
• 2G.RandallF · 6.0 RPG7.0
• 29A.L'EtangF · 7.0 RPG15.0
• 5T.FordG · 3.0 APG13.0
• 11T.PerryG · 0.7 APG2.0

• 5N.LewisG · 4.3 APG13.7
• 1B.HarperG · 3.3 APG14.7
• 17L.DjokovicF · 4.7 RPG12.7
• 0B.JenningsG · 1.7 APG5.7
• 8M.BelleG · 0.0 APG4.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+12.3Adj. net rating+17.2

69thAdj. net rank47th

111.3Adj. offense119.4

99.0Adj. defense102.2

72.0Pace70.0

5.6SRS9.8

1976Elo1981

1–2Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

84.7Points85.7

79.3Opp points70.0

55.6%eFG%53.9%

19.0%TO%17.0%

30.2%OREB%35.3%

.41FT rate.66

41%3PA rate45%

56%Assisted FG%68%

Last five games

Dayton

L89-99vs SIE

L76-81vs NIU

W89-58vs NJIT

L55-61vs ILST

W80-61@ UNCW

VCU

W87-49vs NJIT

L88-89@ MEM

W82-72vs LR

L55-76@ ILL

W82-78@ UNC

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26DAY 62 · VCU 70Sun, 3/15

25-26VCU 68 · DAY 62Fri, 3/6

25-26DAY 73 · VCU 99Fri, 2/6

24-25DAY 79 · VCU 76Fri, 3/7

24-25VCU 73 · DAY 68Fri, 2/7

23-24VCU 86 · DAY 91Fri, 3/8

23-24DAY 47 · VCU 49Fri, 2/9

22-23DAY 56 · VCU 68Sun, 3/12

22-23DAY 62 · VCU 58Tue, 2/7

22-23VCU 63 · DAY 62Fri, 1/13

Game information

TipFriday, Mar 5 · time TBD

VenueSiegel Center · Richmond, VA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.