Bulldogs vs Rams

Gameday · SAT MAR 6

GonzagaAP #14VSColorado State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Moby Arena · Fort Collins, CO

Win probability

1912 blend

85% GONZCSU 15%

Adj. efficiency88%

12%

SRS81%

19%

Elo87%

13%

GONZ +5.1

Proj. margin

154.1

Proj. total

70.1

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 4D.FogleG · 4.0 APG22.0
• 34B.HuffF · 3.5 RPG15.0
• 5X.LeeG · 6.5 APG12.0
• 1I.HarwellG · 1.5 APG12.0
• 35M.DiopC · 0.5 BPG9.5

• 5J.PascarelliG · 1.3 APG12.3
• 4J.ButlerG · 6.3 APG13.3
• 0C.BoothF · 4.7 RPG12.0
• 3J.MenardG · 2.7 APG8.7
• 35K.JorgensenF · 4.0 RPG10.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+31.5Adj. net rating+8.5

9thAdj. net rank93rd

122.4Adj. offense117.4

90.9Adj. defense108.9

69.5Pace70.7

15.8SRS3.2

2106Elo1772

2–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

93.5Points83.0

70.0Opp points70.7

61.3%eFG%59.4%

12.0%TO%16.0%

32.8%OREB%14.9%

.55FT rate.40

35%3PA rate40%

62%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Gonzaga

W109-68vs NMSU

W78-72@ PUR

L68-74vs TEX

W73-64vs KENN

W79-68vs SCU

Colorado State

W87-71vs PRST

W78-67vs IDHO

W84-74vs MTST

L64-69vs JOES

L62-71@ SDSU

Game information

TipSaturday, Mar 6 · time TBD

VenueMoby Arena · Fort Collins, CO

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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