Broncos vs Aztecs

Gameday · SAT MAR 6

Boise StateVSSan Diego State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Viejas Arena · San Diego, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

35% BOISSDSU 65%

Adj. efficiency34%

66%

SRS34%

66%

Elo36%

64%

SDSU +3.8

Proj. margin

166.3

Proj. total

77.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1A.NetoG · 6.0 APG20.0
• 10D.Wheeler-ThomasG · 4.7 APG17.3
• 13D.ButkaF · 10.0 RPG16.0
• 16S.AhrensF · 5.0 RPG15.0
• 0J.BowieG · 1.7 APG8.3

• 5L.DavisG · 2.3 APG23.0
• 2C.GladdenG · 4.7 APG11.0
• 3E.HarringtonG · 4.7 APG13.7
• 8T.SimmonsF · 7.0 RPG11.0
• 45B.CherryF · 5.0 RPG12.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+14.5Adj. net rating+16.5

56thAdj. net rank51st

118.9Adj. offense112.6

104.4Adj. defense96.1

80.7Pace73.3

5.1SRS6.7

1845Elo1944

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

114.3Points89.0

71.0Opp points73.0

62.6%eFG%61.2%

11.0%TO%23.0%

34.8%OREB%28.0%

.31FT rate.52

44%3PA rate31%

58%Assisted FG%59%

Last five games

Boise State

W111-79vs OAK

W100-81vs BUT

W132-53vs West Coast Baptist

L74-84vs SJSU

W78-67@ CSU

San Diego State

W88-75vs BCU

W77-66vs COLO

W102-78vs CSUF

L62-73@ USU

W64-62vs UNM

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26SDSU 77 · BOIS 86Tue, 3/3

25-26BOIS 107 · SDSU 110Sat, 1/3

24-25BOIS 62 · SDSU 52Thu, 3/13

24-25BOIS 47 · SDSU 64Sat, 2/15

24-25SDSU 76 · BOIS 68Sat, 1/4

23-24BOIS 79 · SDSU 77Fri, 3/8

23-24SDSU 66 · BOIS 67Sat, 1/20

22-23SDSU 60 · BOIS 66Tue, 2/28

22-23BOIS 52 · SDSU 72Fri, 2/3

21-22SDSU 52 · BOIS 53Sat, 3/12

Game information

TipSaturday, Mar 6 · time TBD

VenueViejas Arena · San Diego, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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