Louisville at Miami

Final

Louisville9-4

24–21

Louisville wins by 3

Miami13-3

1Q2Q3Q4Q

LOU14037

MIA7338

Final

Louisville

24–21

Louisville wins by 3

Miami

1Q2Q3Q4Q

LOU14037

MIA7338

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

100%

Louisville

Miami

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234T

LOU1403724

MIA733821

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

0.01EPA / play0.05

41%Success rate39%

1.25Explosiveness1.29

4.8Points / opp4.0

Team stats

367Total Yards334

21First Downs15

5-14Third Down Eff5-12

31:16Possession Time28:44

1Turnovers4

Drive chart

24 drives

LOUMIAown goal → score

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Miami -10.5

Total

49.5

Moneyline

+390 / -550

20.4% / 84.6% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

1912 Coins are earned in the app — no cash value, and they can't be bought or cashed out. Nothing here is real-money wagering. Responsible Play

Head to head

Last 10 · 1985–2025

2025LOU 24 · MIA 21Fri, 10/17

2024MIA 52 · LOU 45Sat, 10/19

2023LOU 38 · MIA 31Sat, 11/18

2020MIA 47 · LOU 34Sat, 9/19

2019LOU 27 · MIA 52Sat, 11/9

2014MIA 13 · LOU 31Mon, 9/1

2013MIA 9 · LOU 36Sat, 12/28

2006MIA 7 · LOU 31Sat, 9/16

2004LOU 38 · MIA 41Thu, 10/14

1985LOU 7 · MIA 45Fri, 10/25

Game information

KickoffFriday, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueHard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL

WatchESPN2

Attendance66,573

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

Full box scoreEvery line the ingest wrote for this game→