UCF at Houston

Final

UCF5-4

17–27

Houston wins by 10

Houston7-2

1Q2Q3Q4Q

UCF7370

HOU001413

Final

UCF

17–27

Houston wins by 10

Houston

1Q2Q3Q4Q

UCF7370

HOU001413

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

100%

Houston

UCF

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234T

UCF737017

HOU00141327

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

0.07EPA / play0.01

30%Success rate50%

1.77Explosiveness0.74

5.7Points / opp3.0

Team stats

332Total Yards393

13First Downs23

4-14Third Down Eff8-16

26:38Possession Time33:22

1Turnovers1

Drive chart

24 drives

UCFHOUown goal → score

Punt

Downs

Punt

Downs

Punt

FUM

Punt

End

Punt

INT

Punt

Downs

End

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Houston -10.5

Total

Moneyline

+335 / -450

23% / 81.8% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

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Head to head

Last 10 · 2010–2026

2026UCF 17 · HOU 27Sat, 10/3

2025HOU 30 · UCF 27Fri, 11/7

2023HOU 13 · UCF 27Sat, 11/25

2020UCF 44 · HOU 21Sat, 10/31

2019HOU 29 · UCF 44Sat, 11/2

2016UCF 24 · HOU 31Sat, 10/29

2015HOU 59 · UCF 10Sat, 10/24

2014UCF 17 · HOU 12Thu, 10/2

2013HOU 14 · UCF 19Sat, 11/9

2010UCF 40 · HOU 33Fri, 11/5

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET

VenueTDECU Stadium · Houston, TX

WatchESPN2

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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