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NC State at Virginia

Final
NC State1-1
8–34
Virginia wins by 26
Virginia2-0
1Q2Q3Q4Q
NCSU0080
UVA107710
OverviewP x PBoxAnalytics
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How the room called it
NC State
at
Virginia
Straight up · the number sets the multiplier
NC State
+4 · earns 2.5× · 71% of picks
Virginia
-4 · earns 1.7× · 29% of picks

17 picks in · this call is graded

Community consensus · 15 picksSee all picks →
NC State67%
Virginia33%

EPA by down

CollegeFootballData
EPA · 1st down0.23
EPA · 2nd down0.38
EPA · 3rd down-0.25

By quarter

CollegeFootballData
1Q2Q3Q4Q
EPA / play0.100.320.390.49
Success rate38%58%53%54%
Explosiveness1.100.951.241.10
Total EPA1.66.16.66.3

Advanced metrics

Havoc, passing depth and the full-game breakdowns are part of 1912 Premium.

Unlock

Havoc

CollegeFootballData
Havoc rate00.0
Havoc · front seven00.0
Havoc · secondary00.0
Havoc plays made00.0
Snaps defended00.0
Havoc rate allowed00.0

Passing depth

CollegeFootballData
Completion rate00.0
Air yards00.0
Avg. depth of target00.0
Yards after catch00.0
Yards after catch / completion00.0

Full-game advanced

CollegeFootballData
Plays00.0
Drives00.0
EPA / play00.0
Total EPA00.0
Success rate00.0
Explosiveness00.0
Power success00.0
Stuff rate00.0
Scoring opportunities00.0
Points per opportunity00.0
Opp-adj EPA / play00.0
Opp-adj success rate00.0

Drive log

12 drives
PUNT4 plays, 15 yards, 2:10 · from OWN 3100.0
FG7 plays, 31 yards, 3:47 · from OWN 4000.0
TD4 plays, 32 yards, 2:06 · from NCSU 3200.0
TD7 plays, 77 yards, 4:18 · from OWN 2300.0
PUNT5 plays, 16 yards, 3:53 · from OWN 1100.0
PUNT5 plays, 31 yards, 2:32 · from OWN 700.0
END OF HALF2 plays, 18 yards, 0:32 · from OWN 1300.0
TD3 plays, 75 yards, 1:25 · from OWN 2500.0
PUNT3 plays, 4 yards, 2:16 · from OWN 2700.0
TD23 plays, 75 yards, 12:15 · from OWN 2500.0
FG4 plays, 8 yards, 2:11 · from NCSU 3300.0
PUNT3 plays, 6 yards, 0:38 · from OWN 1100.0

Win probability path

Kickoff00.0
25%00.0
50%00.0
75%00.0
Final00.0

Field position & tempo

CollegeFootballData
Avg. start · yard line00.0
Avg. start · exp. points00.0
Plays00.0
Drives00.0
Possession Time00.0

Ratings & expectancy

CollegeFootballData
Postgame win expectancy00.0

1912 EPA leaders

Top 10
#7
B.Pribula
9/11 C/ATT · 155 YDS · 14.1 AVG
00.0
#6
B.Hillman
4 TOT · 2 SOLO
00.0
#32
L.Danley
1 REC
00.0
#0
X.Brown
8 CAR · 40 YDS · 5.0 AVG
00.0
#10
J.Henderson
4 TOT · 2 SOLO · 2 PD
00.0
#5
K.Courtney
3 REC · 12 YDS · 4.0 AVG
00.0
#23
J.Jones
1 SACKS · 1 TOT · 1 SOLO
00.0
#25
X.Davis
7 CAR · 13 YDS · 1.9 AVG
00.0
#17
J.Ross
1 TOT · 1 SOLO · 1 TFL
00.0
#88
K.Choute
2 TOT · 1 PD
00.0

Our own metric, computed from the play-by-play — credited on 118 of 122 plays carrying an expected-points value.

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play
SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th
ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays
HavocShare of plays with a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception or pass defensed
Opp-adjOpponent-adjusted — scaled against the defense faced
YACYards after catch
OppScoring opportunity — a drive reaching the opponent's 40