NC State at Virginia

Final

NC State1-1

8–34

Virginia wins by 26

Virginia2-0

1Q2Q3Q4Q

NCSU0080

UVA107710

Final

NC State

8–34

Virginia wins by 26

Virginia

1Q2Q3Q4Q

NCSU0080

UVA107710

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

100%

Virginia

NC State

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234T

NCSU00808

UVA10771034

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

-0.25EPA / play0.27

34%Success rate48%

0.51Explosiveness1.06

3.5Points / opp3.9

Team stats

168Total Yards413

10First Downs19

4-13Third Down Eff3-14

21:57Possession Time38:03

2Turnovers0

Drive chart

24 drives

NCSUUVAown goal → score

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Virginia -4.0

Total

50.5

Moneyline

+125 / -145

44.4% / 59.2% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

1912 Coins are earned in the app — no cash value, and they can't be bought or cashed out. Nothing here is real-money wagering. Responsible Play

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Aug 29 · 3:30 PM ET

VenueScott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA

WatchESPN

SurfaceGrass · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

How the room called it

NC State

Virginia

Straight up · the number sets the multiplier

NC State

+4 · earns 2.5× · 71% of picks

Virginia

-4 · earns 1.7× · 29% of picks

17 picks in · this call is graded