Florida State at Miami

Final

Florida State4-5

35–43

Miami wins by 8

Miami8-1

1Q2Q3Q4Q5Q

FSU014777

MIA7701415

Final

Florida State

35–43

Miami wins by 8

Miami

1Q2Q3Q4Q5Q

FSU014777

MIA7701415

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

100%

Miami

Florida State

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234OTT

FSU01477735

MIA770141543

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

0.06EPA / play0.26

35%Success rate44%

1.45Explosiveness1.51

3.5Points / opp4.0

Team stats

443Total Yards583

19First Downs26

5-12Third Down Eff8-15

22:40Possession Time37:20

2Turnovers1

Drive chart

29 drives

FSUMIAown goal → score

Punt

Downs

Punt

Downs

Punt

End

INT

Punt

Downs

Punt

FUM

Punt

End

INT

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Miami -20.0

Total

56.5

Moneyline

+800 / -1600

11.1% / 94.1% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

1912 Coins are earned by playing on 1912 Society — no cash value, and they can't be bought or cashed out. Nothing here is real-money wagering. Responsible Play

Rivalry

Sunshine State

SeriesFSU 33–38 MIA · 1951–2026

Current holderMiami (3 straight)

Meetings71 since 1951

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017–2026

2026FSU 35 · MIA 43Sat, 10/17

2025MIA 28 · FSU 22Sat, 10/4

2024FSU 14 · MIA 36Sat, 10/26

2023MIA 20 · FSU 27Sat, 11/11

2022FSU 45 · MIA 3Sat, 11/5

2021MIA 28 · FSU 31Sat, 11/13

2020FSU 10 · MIA 52Sat, 9/26

2019MIA 27 · FSU 10Sat, 11/2

2018FSU 27 · MIA 28Sat, 10/6

2017MIA 24 · FSU 20Sat, 10/7

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueHard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL

WatchESPN

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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