Duke at Virginia

Final

Duke7-2

19–16

Duke wins by 3

Virginia4-5

1Q2Q3Q4Q

DUKE7039

UVA7603

Final

Duke

19–16

Duke wins by 3

Virginia

1Q2Q3Q4Q

DUKE7039

UVA7603

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

Virginia

100%

Duke

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234T

DUKE703919

UVA760316

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

0.06EPA / play-0.08

36%Success rate34%

1.46Explosiveness1.24

3.3Points / opp3.2

Team stats

327Total Yards353

16First Downs22

2-10Third Down Eff5-17

21:13Possession Time38:47

1Turnovers2

Drive chart

24 drives

DUKEUVAown goal → score

Punt

FUM

Punt

FG ✗

INT

Punt

INT

End

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Virginia -2.5

Total

Moneyline

-105 / -115

51.2% / 53.5% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

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Head to head

Last 10 · 2017–2026

2026DUKE 19 · UVA 16Fri, 10/23

2025DUKE 27 · UVA 20Sat, 12/6

2025UVA 34 · DUKE 17Sat, 11/15

2023DUKE 27 · UVA 30Sat, 11/18

2022UVA 17 · DUKE 38Sat, 10/1

2021DUKE 0 · UVA 48Sat, 10/16

2020DUKE 20 · UVA 38Sat, 9/26

2019DUKE 14 · UVA 48Sat, 10/19

2018UVA 28 · DUKE 14Sat, 10/20

2017DUKE 21 · UVA 28Sat, 10/7

Game information

KickoffFriday, Oct 23 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueScott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA

WatchESPN

SurfaceGrass · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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