Michigan State at Wisconsin

Final

Michigan State3-6

3–31

Wisconsin wins by 28

Wisconsin6-3

1Q2Q3Q4Q

MSU0300

WIS14377

Final

Michigan State

3–31

Wisconsin wins by 28

Wisconsin

1Q2Q3Q4Q

MSU0300

WIS14377

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

100%

Wisconsin

Michigan State

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234T

MSU03003

WIS1437731

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

-0.35EPA / play0.26

35%Success rate31%

0.82Explosiveness1.87

0.8Points / opp4.3

Team stats

235Total Yards373

19First Downs17

5-18Third Down Eff8-16

31:10Possession Time28:50

0Turnovers0

Drive chart

22 drives

MSUWISown goal → score

Downs

Punt

End

Downs

Punt

Downs

Punt

Downs

Punt

Uncate

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Wisconsin -9.0

Total

Moneyline

+305 / -410

24.7% / 80.4% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

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Head to head

Last 10 · 2008–2026

2026MSU 3 · WIS 31Sat, 10/3

2022WIS 28 · MSU 34Sat, 10/15

2019MSU 0 · WIS 38Sat, 10/12

2016WIS 30 · MSU 6Sat, 9/24

2012MSU 16 · WIS 13Sat, 10/27

2011WIS 42 · MSU 39Sat, 12/3

2011WIS 31 · MSU 37Sat, 10/22

2010WIS 24 · MSU 34Sat, 10/2

2009MSU 30 · WIS 38Sat, 9/26

2008WIS 24 · MSU 25Sat, 11/1

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Oct 3 · 12:30 PM ET

VenueCamp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI

WatchBTN

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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