Illinois at Michigan State

Final

Illinois6-3

38–37

Illinois wins by 1

Michigan State3-6

1Q2Q3Q4Q5Q

ILL1010387

MSU0710146

Final

Illinois

38–37

Illinois wins by 1

Michigan State

1Q2Q3Q4Q5Q

ILL1010387

MSU0710146

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

Michigan State

100%

Illinois

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234OTT

ILL101038738

MSU071014637

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

0.20EPA / play0.46

52%Success rate51%

1.05Explosiveness1.30

4.3Points / opp6.2

Team stats

409Total Yards342

25First Downs19

5-12Third Down Eff6-10

33:52Possession Time26:08

1Turnovers1

Drive chart

20 drives

ILLMSUown goal → score

Punt

FUM

INT

Downs

Punt

End

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Illinois -2.5

Total

Moneyline

-175 / +150

63.6% / 40% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

1912 Coins are earned by playing on 1912 Society — no cash value, and they can't be bought or cashed out. Nothing here is real-money wagering. Responsible Play

Head to head

Last 10 · 2005–2026

2026ILL 38 · MSU 37Sat, 10/10

2024MSU 16 · ILL 38Sat, 11/16

2022MSU 23 · ILL 15Sat, 11/5

2019ILL 37 · MSU 34Sat, 11/9

2016MSU 27 · ILL 31Sat, 11/5

2013MSU 42 · ILL 3Sat, 10/26

2010ILL 6 · MSU 26Sat, 10/16

2009MSU 24 · ILL 14Sat, 10/10

2006ILL 23 · MSU 20Sat, 9/30

2005MSU 61 · ILL 14Sat, 9/24

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET

VenueSpartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI

WatchFS1

SurfaceGrass · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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