Penn State at Michigan

Final

Penn State5-4

18–21

Michigan wins by 3

Michigan5-4

1Q2Q3Q4Q

PSU30015

MICH00147

Final

Penn State

18–21

Michigan wins by 3

Michigan

1Q2Q3Q4Q

PSU30015

MICH00147

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

100%

Michigan

Penn State

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234T

PSU3001518

MICH0014721

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

-0.07EPA / play0.10

40%Success rate40%

1.03Explosiveness1.42

2.8Points / opp2.8

Team stats

332Total Yards301

22First Downs15

4-12Third Down Eff5-12

32:02Possession Time27:58

3Turnovers2

Drive chart

24 drives

PSUMICHown goal → score

Punt

INT

Punt

INT

End

Punt

INT

Punt

FUM

End

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Michigan -6.0

Total

Moneyline

+180 / -220

35.7% / 68.8% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

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Head to head

Last 10 · 2015–2026

2026PSU 18 · MICH 21Sat, 10/17

2023MICH 24 · PSU 15Sat, 11/11

2022PSU 17 · MICH 41Sat, 10/15

2021MICH 21 · PSU 17Sat, 11/13

2020PSU 27 · MICH 17Sat, 11/28

2019MICH 21 · PSU 28Sat, 10/19

2018PSU 7 · MICH 42Sat, 11/3

2017MICH 13 · PSU 42Sat, 10/21

2016PSU 10 · MICH 49Sat, 9/24

2015MICH 28 · PSU 16Sat, 11/21

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET

VenueMichigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI

WatchCBS

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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