Toledo at Ball State

Final

Toledo8-2

39–24

Toledo wins by 15

Ball State3-7

1Q2Q3Q4Q

TOL69717

BALL7377

Final

Toledo

39–24

Toledo wins by 15

Ball State

1Q2Q3Q4Q

TOL69717

BALL7377

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

Ball State

100%

Toledo

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234T

TOL6971739

BALL737724

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

0.19EPA / play0.05

41%Success rate38%

1.34Explosiveness1.51

3.7Points / opp3.4

Team stats

553Total Yards370

27First Downs18

8-18Third Down Eff5-12

34:20Possession Time25:40

0Turnovers2

Drive chart

25 drives

TOLBALLown goal → score

FUM

Punt

Downs

FG ✗

Punt

Downs

Punt

Downs

INT

End

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Toledo -21.0

Total

Moneyline

-1400 / +750

93.3% / 11.8% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

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Head to head

Last 10 · 2016–2026

2026TOL 39 · BALL 24Sat, 10/3

2025BALL 9 · TOL 38Sat, 11/22

2023TOL 13 · BALL 6Sat, 10/14

2022BALL 21 · TOL 28Tue, 11/8

2021TOL 22 · BALL 12Sat, 9/25

2020BALL 27 · TOL 24Sat, 11/28

2019TOL 14 · BALL 52Sat, 10/19

2018BALL 13 · TOL 45Wed, 10/31

2017TOL 58 · BALL 17Thu, 10/26

2016BALL 19 · TOL 37Wed, 11/16

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Oct 3 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueScheumann Stadium · Muncie, IN

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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