Massachusetts at Buffalo

Final

Massachusetts5-5

18–25

Buffalo wins by 7

Buffalo7-3

1Q2Q3Q4Q5Q

MASS78030

BUF35737

Final

Massachusetts

18–25

Buffalo wins by 7

Buffalo

1Q2Q3Q4Q5Q

MASS78030

BUF35737

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

100%

Buffalo

Massachusetts

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234OTT

MASS7803018

BUF3573725

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

-0.06EPA / play-0.01

40%Success rate37%

0.96Explosiveness1.01

2.8Points / opp3.2

Team stats

339Total Yards351

17First Downs19

5-15Third Down Eff8-19

31:30Possession Time28:30

2Turnovers2

Drive chart

27 drives

MASSBUFown goal → score

Punt

INT

FG ✗

End

Punt

INT

Punt

FG ✗

Punt

Downs

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Buffalo -7.0

Total

42.5

Moneyline

+135 / -160

42.6% / 61.5% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

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Head to head

Last 10 · 1969–2026

2026MASS 18 · BUF 25Sat, 10/17

2025BUF 28 · MASS 21Sat, 10/18

2024MASS 3 · BUF 34Sat, 9/14

2022BUF 34 · MASS 7Sat, 10/15

2015MASS 31 · BUF 26Fri, 11/27

2014BUF 41 · MASS 21Fri, 11/28

2013MASS 3 · BUF 32Sat, 10/19

2012BUF 29 · MASS 19Sat, 11/17

1970MASS 13 · BUF 16Fri, 10/2

1969BUF 16 · MASS 6Fri, 9/26

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Oct 17 · 1:00 PM ET

VenueUB Stadium · Amherst, NY

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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