Bowling Green at Buffalo

Final

Bowling Green3-7

24–31

Buffalo wins by 7

Buffalo7-3

1Q2Q3Q4Q

BGSU7773

BUF77710

Final

Bowling Green

24–31

Buffalo wins by 7

Buffalo

1Q2Q3Q4Q

BGSU7773

BUF77710

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

100%

Buffalo

Bowling Green

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234T

BGSU777324

BUF7771031

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

0.16EPA / play0.21

47%Success rate41%

1.12Explosiveness1.43

6.0Points / opp3.4

Team stats

341Total Yards378

17First Downs19

8-15Third Down Eff8-15

35:45Possession Time24:15

2Turnovers1

Drive chart

23 drives

BGSUBUFown goal → score

Punt

End

INT

FUM

Punt

INT

FG ✗

Downs

End

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Buffalo -3.0

Total

Moneyline

+170 / -200

37% / 66.7% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

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Head to head

Last 10 · 2016–2026

2026BGSU 24 · BUF 31Sat, 10/24

2025BUF 28 · BGSU 3Sat, 11/1

2023BGSU 24 · BUF 14Sat, 10/14

2022BUF 38 · BGSU 7Sat, 10/8

2021BGSU 56 · BUF 44Sat, 10/30

2020BUF 42 · BGSU 17Tue, 11/17

2019BGSU 7 · BUF 49Fri, 11/29

2018BUF 44 · BGSU 14Fri, 11/23

2017BGSU 28 · BUF 38Tue, 11/7

2016BUF 19 · BGSU 27Fri, 11/25

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET

VenueUB Stadium · Amherst, NY

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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