Western Michigan at Toledo

Final

Western Michigan7-3

38–45

Toledo wins by 7

Toledo8-2

1Q2Q3Q4Q

WMU014213

TOL141777

Final

Western Michigan

38–45

Toledo wins by 7

Toledo

1Q2Q3Q4Q

WMU014213

TOL141777

Overview P x P Box Analytics

Win probability

Final

100%

Toledo

Western Michigan

KickoffFinal

Scoring by quarter

FINAL

1234T

WMU01421338

TOL14177745

The suite, final

CollegeFootballData

-0.03EPA / play0.24

35%Success rate50%

1.73Explosiveness1.18

6.0Points / opp4.5

Team stats

351Total Yards595

18First Downs32

3-12Third Down Eff5-10

26:40Possession Time33:20

3Turnovers2

Drive chart

28 drives

WMUTOLown goal → score

INT

FUM

Punt

FUM

INT

Punt

End

Punt

Downs

Punt

INT

End

255025

The line

Bovada via CFBD

Spread

Toledo -2.5

Total

Moneyline

+150 / -175

40% / 63.6% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

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Head to head

Last 10 · 2016–2026

2026WMU 38 · TOL 45Sat, 10/24

2025TOL 13 · WMU 14Sat, 9/20

2023WMU 31 · TOL 49Sat, 9/23

2022TOL 14 · WMU 20Fri, 11/25

2021WMU 15 · TOL 34Sat, 10/23

2020TOL 38 · WMU 41Wed, 11/11

2019WMU 24 · TOL 31Sat, 10/5

2018TOL 51 · WMU 24Thu, 10/25

2017WMU 10 · TOL 37Fri, 11/24

2016TOL 35 · WMU 55Fri, 11/25

Game information

KickoffSaturday, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET

VenueGlass Bowl · Toledo, OH

WatchCBSSN

SurfaceTurf · outdoor

Abbreviations

EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play

SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th

WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here

Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score

ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays

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