1912 Society

Bulldogs vs Tar Heels

Gameday · FRI NOV 13
GeorgiaVSNorth Carolina
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip7:00 PM ET
WatchESPN2
LineUNC -4.5 · 163
Dean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC

Win probability

1912 blend
37% UGAUNC 63%
Adj. efficiency35%
65%
SRS37%
63%
Elo41%
59%
Market34%
66%
UNC +3.5
Proj. margin
156.6
Proj. total
70.0
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS, Elo and Market.

The line

Consensus of 10 books · The Odds API · 56m ago
Spread
North Carolina -4.5
Total
163
Moneyline
+155 / -192
39.2% / 65.8% implied

Lines are shown for information only.

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Projected starters

PPG
  • 0B.CainG · 2.0 APG16.0
  • 4M.MillenderPG · 2.3 RPG12.3
  • 9J.ScottF · 6.7 RPG6.3
  • 6K.CatchingsF · 4.7 RPG13.7
  • 1K.StaggF · 1.5 RPG11.5
  • 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
  • 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
  • 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
  • 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
  • 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26
+21.7Adj. net rating+23.3
31stAdj. net rank27th
124.4Adj. offense121.7
102.7Adj. defense98.5
68.8Pace71.2
10.8SRS11.4
1892Elo1958
3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games
83.0Points88.3
70.3Opp points68.3
52.4%eFG%55.9%
10.0%TO%12.0%
37.6%OREB%26.3%
.42FT rate.44
41%3PA rate40%
41%Assisted FG%48%

Last five games

Georgia
W80-72vs FGCU
W91-77vs PRES
W78-62vs NCCU
L77-102vs SLU
L72-76vs MISS
North Carolina
W76-63vs WYO
W109-70vs WOF
W80-72vs WCU
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM

Game information

TipFriday, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
VenueDean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC
WatchESPN2

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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